EARNINGS BEFORE INTEREST AND TAX (EBITA)

     
     
     

A

B

C

D

E

F

 

A4

 

 

 

 

 

 

A5

Total assets

     

$1.000.000

 

A6

Amount of debt

     

$650.000

 

A7

Amount of equity

     

$450.000

 

A8

Interest expense

 

 

 

10%

 

A9

           

A10

Estimate for EBIT level in a very bad economy (Scenario A)

$85.000

 

A11

 

 

       

A12

CALCULATION TABLE

 

 

 

 

 

A13

State of Economy

Very Bad

Fair

Good

Very Good

 

A14

Probability

0,25

0,25

0,25

0,25

 

A15

EBIT growth factor

1,0000

1,2857

1,5714

1,8571

 

A16

EBIT

$85.000

$109.285

$133.569

$157.854

=$E$10*F15

A17

Interest

$65.000

$65.000

$65.000

$65.000

=$E$6*$E$8

A18

Earnings

$20.000

$44.285

$68.569

$92.854

=F16-F17

A19

Expected EBIT

 

 

 

$121.427

=(C16*C14)+(D16*D14)+(E16*E14)+(F16*F14)

A20

Expected earnings

 

 

 

$56.427

=(C18*C14)+(D18*D14)+(E18*E14)+(F18*F14)

A21

Expected return on assets

   

12%

=F19/F5

A22

Expected return on equity

   

13%

=F20/F7

A23

Standard deviation on return on equity

 

6,03%

=(C14*(C18/F7-F22)^2+D14*(D18/F7-F22)^2+E14*(E18/F7-F22)^2+F14*(F18/F7-F22)^2)^0,5

A24

Coefficient of variation

 

 

 

0,481

=F23/F22